Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.000212 0.000238 0.000264 0.000295 0.000330 0.000367 0.000411
2025-01-19 0.000179 0.000213 0.000252 0.000300 0.000357 0.000423 0.000505
2025-01-26 0.000151 0.000190 0.000237 0.000298 0.000375 0.000468 0.000591
2025-02-02 0.000137 0.000181 0.000237 0.000312 0.000412 0.000540 0.000717
2025-02-09 0.000122 0.000169 0.000230 0.000317 0.000438 0.000599 0.000831
2025-02-16 0.000110 0.000158 0.000224 0.000321 0.000461 0.000655 0.000947
2025-02-23 0.000099 0.000147 0.000216 0.000321 0.000477 0.000703 0.001054
2025-03-02 0.000088 0.000135 0.000205 0.000315 0.000485 0.000738 0.001147
2025-03-09 0.000080 0.000127 0.000198 0.000313 0.000498 0.000782 0.001254
2025-03-16 0.000073 0.000119 0.000192 0.000314 0.000513 0.000830 0.001372
2025-03-23 0.000067 0.000114 0.000188 0.000315 0.000530 0.000881 0.001500
2025-03-30 0.000062 0.000107 0.000181 0.000313 0.000541 0.000922 0.001613
2025-04-06 0.000057 0.000102 0.000177 0.000313 0.000557 0.000976 0.001759
2025-04-13 0.000053 0.000097 0.000173 0.000316 0.000577 0.001038 0.001924
2025-04-20 0.000049 0.000091 0.000167 0.000312 0.000585 0.001080 0.002058
2025-04-27 0.000047 0.000090 0.000170 0.000325 0.000627 0.001187 0.002323
2025-05-04 0.000044 0.000087 0.000168 0.000330 0.000652 0.001265 0.002539
2025-05-11 0.000042 0.000084 0.000166 0.000334 0.000674 0.001341 0.002759
2025-05-18 0.000039 0.000080 0.000162 0.000333 0.000688 0.001400 0.002951
2025-05-25 0.000036 0.000076 0.000155 0.000327 0.000692 0.001438 0.003103
2025-06-01 0.000034 0.000072 0.000151 0.000325 0.000703 0.001494 0.003296
2025-06-08 0.000032 0.000069 0.000148 0.000325 0.000719 0.001559 0.003517
2025-06-15 0.000030 0.000067 0.000146 0.000327 0.000737 0.001631 0.003760